EASTERN TRIANGLE: RUSSIA, IRAN, & CHINA

Written by Michael Thervil

Photo by AP /Andy Wong

As there appears to be a global reshaping within the world of geopolitics, there is one familiar shape that everyone can recognize even if you're not a follower of geopolitics and that shape is a triangle. To be more specific, we at VEDA Communications have coined the trilateral relationship between Russia, Iran, and China as the “Eastern Triangle”. With the combination of America holding “direct talks” with Iran as Iran will simultaneously hold “indirect” talks with America, there seems to be a lot at stake this coming weekend in Oman (4/12/2025), which is located southeast of the United Arab Emirates, directly east of Saudi Arabia and southwest of Yemen.

What the Americans are asking for is for Iran to not enrich its uranium to 80%, which makes it weapon grade and not to build a nuclear bomb. Another topic on the table would be stopping Iran from funding its proxies (Hamas, Hezbollah, Ansuallah [Houthis]. But there is an additional hidden topic which deals with stopping both American and Iranian companies from doing business with each other. Addressing the most obvious topics Iran enrichment of weapons grade uranium. This topic has “two faces”. Currently in Iran there is a “Fatwa” on the building of any kind of nuclear weapon. What this means is that the supreme leader Ali Hosseini Khamenei has forbade the building of any kind of nuclear based weapon.

In contrast America and especially Israel, suspect that Iran more than likely either has a nuclear weapon built in secret, or at least has the means to immediately build one if they so choose. Either way it could be said that both America and Israel are adamantly opposed to Iran having access to any kind of resources that would aid them in constructing a nuclear weapon in the region. The other side of the argument is that Israel has anywhere between 200-300 nuclear weapons at their disposal; and because of that, despite Iranian supreme leader Ali Hosseini Khamenei placing a Fatwa on the construction on any kind of nuclear weapon, the Fatwa reserves the right to be lifted if Iran has reason to believe that their country is facing nuclear annihilation at any point and time. Keep in mind that this is the second round of talks as America (Trump Administration) pulled out of the last deal with Iran which was known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action or the “J.C.P.O.A.”.

The question that’s being asked by the international community is how is it that Israel can have a nuclear weapon and not Iran – even if a Fatwa was in place or not? Secondly, what right does America or Israel have for that matter to tell Iran, a sovereign country, that they cannot possess a nuclear weapon despite having these weapons themselves? For Iran, uranium enrichment, whether it's used for the production and/or construction of a nuclear weapon is not on their agenda. Instead, the enrichment of nuclear material is used for peaceful operations such as creation of energy for its citizens. Again, America and Israel doubt that – even though they have no logical reason to distrust the Iranian government on this issue.

Another topic that will be touched on between the two nations is the American and Israeli demand that Iran stops the funding of their proxy organizations. While America and Israel take the potion that because Iran funds these organization which are labeled as terrorist organization by the collective west, Iran should be held directly responsible for the destruction of countries such as Gaza by the actions of Hamas and Hezbollah and the degradation of the world economy via attacks by Ansuallah in the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, and the Strait of Hormuz. The first thing that Iranians are going to say is that we do not control any of these organizations, but they will not lie about funding them. It’s suspected that Iran will continue to fund these organizations which are called as a collective the “Axis of Resistance” after these direct/indirect talks.

When it comes to geo-economics and international business relationships, it's predicted that America is going to find a way to drive a wedge between American and Iranian business from building strategic relationships. If they [America] can't accomplish this; they will resort to driving the talks to conditions favorable for them to acquire Iranian resources, natural and/or man made to their benefit. However, it is predicted that if this was to occur, Iran will deny American access to any such negotiations without favorable conditions to their benefit (example: the lifting of all sanctions).

This is something America will not do and thus the success of the talks between the two countries will be severely limited in scope. Business wise, Iran has the second largest populations in West Asia with a population that consist of roughly over 90,000,000 people and growing. Outside of this, what makes Iran such an attractive market is the fact that it sits in the heart of the West Asian shipping corridor. This is a great opportunity for any businesses that wish to have a share of the Iranian market. In short, Chinese businesses are now direct rivals with American businesses like amazon.

The one thing that those in the know and understand is that Iran will not be bullied or pressured to comply with American demands with a gun in their face.